Some small thoughts on Transit in Toronto

Subways are nice when they are affordable, justified by the ridership, and underground. I submit that subways should not be run above ground unless absolutely necessary. In heavy snowfall, our subway’s open cut areas are routinely unusable and must be bypassed by shuttle buses. I submit that if buses can carry this load, on the surface, it should have been a bus or streetcar right of way in the first place.

When electric tracked vehicles are expected to run in the open in winter in conditions of heavy snow, freezing rain, whatever, it seems they should be designed like the electric trains in Switzerland: these have two wires overhead, which seems to make the convex bow-shaped pickup quite stable.

A case could be made for electric buses; these could (when we had them) go around obstacles that would stop a tracked vehicle, well, in its tracks. {8;^>}

Apparently overhead wires require a taller tunnel than a subway with a “hot” third rail. Again, it seems logical to keep streetcars and light rail out of tunnels, with the clear exception of connection points. The Spadina streetcar connects from Spadina Station to Union Station, and keeps the passengers covered while not requiring transfers. This would seem to justify the short tunnels needed to provide interoperability.

Interoperability does not mean same vehicle, same track, at all. The London, England tube (subway) system is run by separate companies and does not inter-operate. It does meet in the same station with easy platform-to-platform access. It does have a common pass system that allows a rider to go anywhere with the same ticket.

One solution we seem to have discounted out of hand is the bus right-of-way with closed stations adapted to the buses. There is a city in Brazil which did this; the station is entered via ticket or token and rises to be at the level of the bus floor – the bus has no steps, and all the doors open for loading and unloading. A side benefit of this is that all wheelchairs and strollers have made the climb to the bus’s height before the bus arrives, so the struggle with various wheeled devices “climbing up” does not happen while the bus doors are open.

Meanwhile we are still dreaming of a Sheppard subway extension. I doubt that it is justified by projected ridership. However, it might be funded if we had had the gall to buy, or expropriate, all the properties whose value will soar should the subway extension actually come to pass. The jump in property value might just pay for the subway.

I have heard it anecdotally that our existing Sheppard subway, with ? four ? stops, cost us within pennies of a billion dollars. That’s equivalent to a lot of light rail on the surface, eh?

Meanwhile committees continue to discuss who gets to say what about transit. This seemsĀ to be a commitment to waste more time. and money. Let’s get moving, and do it with the appropriate vehicles.

Pill

Fair warning: this is a rant against the pharmaceutical industry.

I look on the big drug makers as the equivalent of the three witches in Shakespeare’s Macbeth: They tell you what you want to hear, it is all technically true, and it does not profit you.

If you look at some member companies of PhRMA, you will find the following:

Pfizer is in a lawsuit that alleges it conspired with Ranbaxy. The claim seems to be that Ranbaxy agreed not to sell generic Lipitor in the US after it came off patent. The suit claims that $18Billion was made in the US as a result.

GlaxoSmithKline set aside amounts of $2.36 billion and $3.4 billion to fight legal battles. These due to side effects of Paxil, an antidepressant, and Avandia, a diabetes drug that has been linked to higher risk of heart attack – as high as 43% higher.

Bristol-Myers Squibb is accused of bribing doctors and pharmacists by offering cash kickbacks, gifts and “happy hours” with the Los Angeles Lakers.

Eli Lilly and Company agreed to plead guilty and pay $1.415 billion for promoting its drug Zyprexa for uses not approved by the Food and Drug Administration.

It did not take long to find these instances. There are many more. In addition,

The top twenty pharmaceutical companies and their two trade groups, Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America (PhRMA) and Biotechnology Industry Organization, lobbied on at least 1,600 pieces of legislation between 1998 and 2004. This from Wikipedia.

I present this dismal background without a specific beef against any of the above-mentioned companies; I think the lobbying tells a tale of profiteering and potentially of legislative maneuvering. One could probably search other pharmaceutical firms along with the word “lawsuit” and find similar occurrences. Nevertheless, these firms are very profitable, and most profitable in the USA where they appear to be able to charge exactly what the market will bear. (See the Wikipedia article referenced above for this quote.)

In this context I would like to muse on the history of the contraceptive pill.

Although the FDA approved the first oral contraceptive in 1960, contraceptives were not available to married women in all states until Griswold v. Connecticut in 1965 and were not available to unmarried women in all states until Eisenstadt v. Baird in 1972. This from the same Wikipedia article.

I wonder how many of us remember the advertising that went with this new pharmaceutical miracle. I recall a voice-over telling a young woman to take control over your body. What this really meant was:

  • don’t worry about getting pregnant. take this pill. buy it from us.
  • don’t use not-getting-pregnant as an excuse to refuse sex. This stuff is available. To your competition.
  • control your body, our way; but lose your right to make this one decision.

I trust the comparison to Macbeth’s witches is obvious.

Bad: Apples or Barrels? On Civilization

It is not just a few bad apples, it is a bad barrel. This from Philip Zimbardo in his book, The Lucifer Effect.

The social contract which produces politicians like those running for the Republican presidential nomination has always mystified me, until I considered it in the context of Zimbardo, the Stanford Prison Experiment; Abu Ghraib; and even the “mask” scene in Lord of the Flies (William Golding).

The social contract that produces the like of Conrad Black, who points to the security camera he thinks is out of order, while defying a court order, similarly mystified me.

The cynical federal government, which is willing to spend money on planes we don’t need, prisons we don’t need, while claiming that social security needs to be damped down, is a similar problem.

In all cases one might ask oneself:

  • How did these people get in control (wealth, power) with their apparent lack of empathy, and in some cases, common sense?
  • What makes them so casual about the 99 or 99.9 per cent of us?
  • What makes them so insatiable for more (wealth, power) no matter how much they control?
  • What could make them more socially responsible, perhaps almost caring of those they buy/sell hire/fire fund/impoverish at whim?

The Unabomber’s answer to this set of questions was (in the same order) approximately, this from memory:

  • Power is in a sense inherited. The rich/wealthy keep themselves and their offspring rich/wealthy
  • They are they and we are we. The Mask (Golding). The Uniform (Zimbardo).
  • This seems to come with civilization. Perhaps civilization never arises unless, at every moment, someone can profit from some aspect of it.
  • Probably nothing. Nothing short of major upheaval.

I suggest the following set of answers, also in the same order:

  • Civilization is a bit like monopoly. Somebody begins to win, and is then likely to continue to win, at the cost of everyone else. Winning in this civilization allows one to change the rules of the game (lobbying, for example) and steepen the acquisition rate. Then you try to own the game for your relatives and friends.
  • They are they and we are we. W.D.Hamilton. Golding. Zimbardo. They do not see us as friends, equals, or as much more than inconveniences or tools.
  • same answer. Joseph Campbell: since the first city state: Greed for more than one’s share.
  • Change the barrel. Like forced integration in the USA, make them live with us and live like us. Make them stand in the rain when our roofs leak. Make them stand in line at a food bank when we are broke. Make them ride in the back of an airplane, sometimes.

They are not a few bad apples. They are in a bad barrel. That they perpetuate this barrel is understandable. However, it may not be sustainable. They are well under one percent. One ten-thousandth of the USA population spends almost one quarter of all campaign donations. If they are .1% or .01%, then they are outnumbered by 1000 or 10,000 to one. It does not take one thousand disaffected individuals to do very bad things.

I suggest taxation of the rich. I suggest taxation of idle cash kept by companies. I suggest taxation of large funds transfers and all speculative deals (e.g. oil futures). I suggest penalties for moving jobs out of the country.

I suggest real town hall meetings. The skyscraper and suburb have made it possible for the elite to travel through life like heads of state, never meeting a commoner except for a photo-op.

I suggest budgeting for social services, and adjusting the taxes above to pay for them.

Meanwhile, if you are one of those bad apples, think of how it must have felt to be one of the elite during the French Revolution. Realize that you are in a bad barrel, and with the Internet, we 99.9% are beginning to recognize who you are, how you tilt the very floor to get what you want, and how many of us are suffering for your greed – greed for far more than your share.

Change the barrel, or get out of it. For all our sakes.

Soul versus Sole

Does a person have a soul? Is a corporation a person? those dumb questions are the starting point for this observation.

We are watching an extension of, the final campaign in, the war on the middle class. All those self-satisfied politicians, economists, and Captains of Industry who are so pleased to recommend austerity for the masses, are in no danger of tasting any of it themselves. I think they also believe they can buy enough air conditioning and water and food to survive global warming in their enclaves, and thus that won’t affect them either. This leads to questions of ethics versus profits, the starting point of today’s rant. (It is a rant; it is hard to be logical about the impending global famine, compounded by the impoverishment of the middle class to starvation wages, and not be somewhat emotionally involved – if you are a person, that is.)

The legality of making a corporation a person dates back to the legality of making a slave or ex-slave a person. Somehow the confounding of these two changes was possible when the second change was perceived as the more radical, more dangerous to the status quo, of the two new ideas.

Now a corporation can buy and sell influence. But it never goes to jail. A corporation can be responsible for deaths. But it is never sentenced to life imprisonment nor capital punishment. A corporation is, in fact, legally obliged to act in a manner most profitable for its shareholders, even if its actions are illegal. If the combination of fine size ($) and fine risk (probability) is acceptable, a probably-profitable action should be taken even if it is illegal. This is just another kind of risky investment, to a corporation.

You will note that no word based on “ethic” appears in the above paragraph. Ethics are irrelevant at the corporate level.

A wise critic, introducing H.G.Wells’ story, The Invisible Man, once pointed out that it was not power that corrupted – it was invulnerability. The Invisible Man was not specially powerful, but he could elude capture and thus responsibility. This, of course, corrupted him.

Imagine now that you are a director of a large, powerful, lobby-connected corporation. You make decisions based on profit. Some turn out badly, but in balance you are successful. Your company might occasionally pay a fine, but even that goes to the expense line and reduces taxes. You are invulnerable. You work in a soul-less enterprise. The result is inevitable. You will almost certainly be corrupted. From a person‘s point of view.

As C.S.Lewis so carefully explained in his essay, The Inner Ring, you will find yourself under subtle pressure to behave as your peers. “We always do this“.

Whether or not you believe a human being has a soul, I hope you will agree at this point that a corporation has a critical lack that makes it, and its actions, non-human. If you disagree, please comment on this blog entry. All coherent opinions will be moderated in.

Now for the other half of today’s topic, Sole.

Sole-sourcing is about monopoly. The book Information Feudalism exposes how the captains of industry arranged it so all countries (that matter) enforce patent and copyright protection. It goes on to show how this is used, via cross-licensing, to in fact fix prices and control markets. Large corporations buy up small ones. Depending purely on profit factors, perhaps shaded by political influence, jobs are moved about the world to suit only the corporation. There is no concept of social responsibility in a monopoly.

Boards of Directors act like corporations, in a way. The board appoints various committees including the executive compensation committee and the committee that nominates the candidates for the next board “election”. In most listed companies, shareholders only have the option of withholding their vote for a candidate; thus the nominating committee in effect names the next board. This only assumes that each nominee will get at least one vote. They have stock and can vote for themselves.

I think every citizen should buy perhaps one share in each of a few diverse companies, not as an investment, but to get on the shareholders’ report mailing list. It is fascinating to read who the board of directors are: they are pretty much all members of boards of other companies as well, in some cases with quite a bit of overlap. IBM board members showed up at CIBC, for example. Both companies seemed to have a member who was on the Bechtel board; I recall seeing many coincidences of this type.

My point here is, the board of directors is also sole-sourced. The elite know themselves, appoint themselves, lobby on behalf of themselves. Jon Stewart pointed out that Mitt Romney, defending his low tax rate, said he only paid what the law required. Stewart then pointed out that Romney’s company was one of those lobbying against the tax rate change a few years before. These people work in their own interest. They are an elite group intent on staying an elite group. The middle class, especially an influential middle class, is an inconvenience, a potentially dangerous enemy. They will want their share.

Now you might claim, of course every one works only for one’s own self. This is demonstrably incorrect. I am a non-Catholic giving two mornings a week to a Catholic charity. I was once an Application Architect charged with making a development project a success. Even a selfish architect must realize his parasitic need for his development team. A smart one makes them as successful as possible. We will meet again: in another project, in an accidental reference question, at a dinner party. A generous one might risk a tiny bit of mentoring.

All of this reinforces W.D.Hamilton’s view that altruism is, in even a limited social setting, beneficial. Yet no matter how you intellectualize it as calculation, real human beings react nicely because they are, simply, real human beings.

If you want one group to treat another group badly, you have only to create a difference between them, and make it an issue. W.D.Hamilton mentions this in the introduction to volume 2 of his papers collection, The Narrow Roads of Gene Land. Philip Zimbardo proved this in the Stanford Prison Experiment. One of his books, The Lucifer Effect, deals with this and related studies. The point here is, we-versus-they can be enough to motivate atrocious interpersonal actions.

So, if I were designing an imaginary planet to have maximum misery and inequality, I would ensure that it contained the following:

  • Corporations – with rights exceeding persons
  • Economic/Political Elite – a minority holding most of the economy’s value
  • A System (patent/copyright) protecting sources of value (Sole Source)
  • Everyone Else

I am reminded of something in The Masks of God, by Joseph Campbell. When the first city-state appears, it appears with several new features that go with it wherever it later develops, presumably by migration. The key elements of “civilization” at this level include:

  • The creation of four classes: Priests, Warriors, Merchants, Other.
  • The ziggurat. Mesopotamian ones look like Chichen Itza.
  • Writing. Laws need to be recorded, as do business deals.
  • The programmatic extension of control by men over other men.

The last point deserves clarification. Before the city state, a tribe might attack another tribe for various reasons: revenge, territory, food, women, slaves. A city state might attack a neighbouring area, but would do so in order to control its people.

A final observation from Campbell: at this point, another factor enters human history: greed for more than one’s share. Apparently there is a single word in Greek for this concept.

You will note the parallels between an early city-state and our so-called economy. The priests have been replaced by politicians, the warriors by the military-industrial complex, the merchants by corporations, lobbyists, and boards of directors, and everybody else by, well, that’s us.

The ziggurat? That’s where the priest tells everyone lower how the world works. We call this the media, and it is mostly controlled by the state and by the corporations.

What to do? I write poetry, volunteer, hack away at a blog. Not enough. We need another quiet uprising of the 99.8 percent, this time with a leader who is both one of us and a leader.

I note there have been failures in this arena in the past. The Unabomber, no matter how repugnant his methods, did understand the central problem. We remained unmoved. The financial wizards created a Ponzi scheme over thirty, perhaps forty years, with ever more aggressive ways to capture money made in the system, apparently, out of thin air (nobody can find most of the money lost, where did it go?). We let them continue their control.

I suggest to the religious that you first pray, then decide to act, even if in some minor way, to begin a groundswell of opinion. In a democracy, there should be a candidate that will do the right thing – but they too are sole-sourced from their own influence cartel. I don’t think the political process is, on its own, capable of getting us out of this impending catastrophe of poverty. It has already proven itself incapable of attempting to mitigate global warming, another impending catastrophe of famine and extreme weather changes.

There is a scene in Mark Twain’s story, The Mysterious Stranger, where a boyish Satan laughs at the three (human) boys after they participated in an atrocious act because they believed that everyone else was participating freely (they were almost all suffering from the same incorrect impression). My point here is, if we all let each other know we are willing to do something, then we will have the power which our numbers should give us. We are, after all, the majority.

I suggest to the non-religious that you may or may not skip step one, and then do as above.

An avalanche begins with a single grain. We need to get our system to a tipping point and tip it in our favour. Our sole hope is in ourselves.

More on Support

As this blog is partly about fairness, I have to add to my earlier entry on support.

Kudos to PE64 support from Paolo Chiartano. He provided a beta fix for a small problem in the handling of file extensions in the special case of the blank extension. This in addition to several insightful suggestions that greatly improved my ability to use this excellent editor.

Kudos to Microsoft Answers. They provided a fix, after several quite reasonable suggestions that did not work out, to my problem with .xls extensions connecting to Excel after the machine had had OpenOffice installed. It now works. Beautifully.

Kudos again to Microsoft Answers. One (dumb) question I had that the Acer support folks utterly flubbed, how to not-start hotkey utility, was answered. Use “msconfig” (in the “run” spot) and you can un-start whatever you like. Next boot, no hotkey utility. Thanks again to the community of support.

Thanks all.

Baloney Budget (Planes and Prisons)

I am indebted for the above title to the Star, which has an article in today’s issue on this topic.

We should be outraged. We have a leader signalling from halfway around the world that he is going to tinker with our pension system. A courageous, perhaps foolish, politician might have given this signal in his own country, perhaps even as an election platform plank.

What’s really wrong with our budget is mostly special interests. Planes and Prisons come to mind. Let’s deal with planes first.

We are going to purchase planes from the USA. We need to have these planes. We need to have these newest, most wonderful, planes. These planes, F-35’s, do have the following small drawbacks:

  • They don’t exist yet. The project is over budget and late. Interestingly, Secrecy News at www.fas.org just published a CRS report on The Nunn-McCurdy Act. This spells out what happens when a Department of Defense (DOD) project goes way over budget. I suspect Congress is very interested in the F-35.
  • The first ones have serious problems.
  • They may not be available until 2018.
  • They are single-engined.

Interestingly, a key US ally, Saudi Arabia, just purchased a large number (84) F-15 fighter jets. This plane is about thirty years old, but the US seems to intend to keep it in service past 2025.

The Saudis seem to be getting 84 new F-15 planes, plus upgrades to 70 old ones, plus helicopters and other gear, for about $30billion USD. The plane is twin engined. When lightly loaded it can accelerate vertically.

The F-35 seems to cost about $300million USD each. Nobody knows when this number will stop rising.

To summarize the points on the F-35 planes:

  • They are expensive
  • They are as yet untested
  • They pander to the United States by guaranteeing purchases of an untried weapon.

Prisons next.

Crime rates are dropping in Canada. Despite various attempts to take credit for this, I believe it has nothing to do with improved policing, let alone jails or longer sentences. I think it is a demographic shift: the desperately poor are now mostly marginalized: the aged, the infirm, and the street people. This is different from young family heads with mouths to feed and no income. I think there has been a gradual population shift from the latter to the former, enough to change the violence and frequency of some kinds of crime. Drug crimes seem to be on the upswing, but often marijuana grow-ops; murders outside of gangs, on a downturn.

Given this, spending money on prisons seems utterly stupid. The only thing in the Harper government’s plan that makes any sense is that it will push cost onto the provinces, especially Ontario, which means Toronto as well; I believe Harper hates Toronto. Look at the G20 he gifted us with, for example. Look at health care reductions, read the newspaper.

What we do need is a real improvement to the handling of court cases, of all kinds. I have ranted here before on long wait times, queueing theory indicating that it only requires a small increase in server capacity to reduce a lineup.

Justice delayed can be justice denied. Accused police officers can try, and sometimes succeed, in having their cases thrown out because of delays. (one recent case did go to court, but I recall an earlier one that did not – convenient for the accused, eh?) One could make a case that a long delay in coming to court is punishment without a trial.

So, Mister Harper, here is some free advice.

Forget the F-35. Get a handful of F-15’s and be as up to date as those poor, impoverished rulers in Saudi Arabia.

Forget the prisons. Do put some dollars into court case times, into pro bono lawyers, and more judges. Let’s have verdicts, and let the judges decide the sentences – in a timely fashion.

While you’re at it, let’s have some improvement in detective work as well: about half the murders in Toronto go unsolved. Every year.

You’re welcome.

Corn, costs; ethanol, and food prices

It remains to be demonstrated that a farm using only ethanol for energy, produced by its own crops, could produce a net positive output of ethanol fuel. This might seem a dumb statement, but consider: farms import fertilizer, use traditional fuel in tractors and other machinery, and in distillation.

Nevertheless we are mandated to use ethanol in our automotive fuel. What they did not tell you is, ethanol has about one-third less energy in it. Thus 10% ethanol translates into maybe 3% lower fuel economy.

Another thing they did not tell you is, we use corn to make ethanol, and we also use corn to “make” a lot of other things. Animal feed is the obvious instance. However corn syrup is used in baking as a sweetener. Ethanol is competing for those corn products.

So, you can thank the lobby pushing ethanol from corn for increasing your food prices: bakes goods, pork, and beef are the obvious price increases. You may note that food prices are rising faster than inflation, and are not included in “core” inflation figures.

So, next time you are checking out at the supermarket, thank your government for mandating ethanol in your fuel. And, as you fill up at the pump, thank your government for lowering your fuel economy by about 3 percent. Don’t bother to also thank them for the fossil fuel lobby which keeps prices high in a country that is a net exporter of fossil fuel.

We need our own, consumer based lobby. Without it, we just get to pay for others’ profitable decisions.